The gold price jumped up again this (Asian Monday) morning. It is as though buy orders accumulated before the market opens force up demand. Sell orders seem only to come in response to, and after, that buying demand.
To trade forex, gold, commodities, the stock market, and futures you need to be aware of how international strategic motivations affect market sentiment. Prices are driven by "groupthink" perceptions of the unknowable future. News is incomplete or manipulated. We try here to penetrate beneath the spin to understand how strategic interests, international politics, and strategic mistakes affect future sentiment, to forecast price trends.
Monday, 30 April 2012
Friday, 27 April 2012
On Warren Buffet’s view on gold
Summary
Warren Buffet
prefers to invest in income producing assets rather than non-producing assets
such as gold. He claims that just about
the only reason people buy gold is because of fear. But beneath Buffet’s case against gold
might lie a motive to support the US dollar.
By discouraging investment in gold, Buffet supports the US dollar.
Wednesday, 25 April 2012
Difficulty of imposing democracy on Islamic cultures finally acknowledged
The notion that people should be given power to make their own laws has always conflicted dangerously, and at the most fundamental level, with the Islamic knowledge that all law comes from Allah, and from Allah alone.
Euro vulnerability increases again
See "Berlin is running out of allies in euro crisis" and "Euro's fate hinges on austerity in Madrid" from Der Spiegel, which I acknowledge.
Tuesday, 24 April 2012
Gold metal partially replaces US dollar for international trade
The west's strategy of short selling gold into Chinese hands is "novel" and "courageous". China's plans to pay gold, and to barter other produce, to purchase Iranian oil follows India's similar intent. The increasing denomination of international trade in gold and barter produce instead of the US dollar global reserve currency is significant.
Monday, 23 April 2012
How the gold price is manipulated, and long term implications
Harvey Organ explains in detail how gold trading in London and on the COMEX determines the gold price.
Thursday, 19 April 2012
China's global currency role expands
The Chinese yuan's role as an international currency continues to grow, offering an alternative to the US dollar global reserve currency. UK institutions seek to make London a yuan trading and investment hub, according to this Bloomberg article, which I acknowledge.
Wednesday, 18 April 2012
US taxpayers cover unquantifiably large derivatives risk
Avery Goodman has written an excellent explanation of the US derivatives situation, in which he argues that the astronomical value of US issued derivatives has created a frightening concentration of risk. That is why large scale quantitative easing (money printing) will continue indefinitely, causing high inflation.
Banks "too big to fail" have grown even bigger
The five largest US banks, guaranteed government support for being "too big to fail", have grown significantly larger. Almost no progress has been made on reducing the financial system's exposure to banks which are "too big to fail".
Gold's relationship with money, continued (3)
"Gold returning to the mainstream - part three" follows the two earlier articles:
Tuesday, 17 April 2012
Renminbi might replace Sterling
The London Metal Exchange is considering allowing settlement in renminbi, according the Financial Times.
Wednesday, 11 April 2012
Gold's relationship with money
I found this article interesting: "How gold can be returned to the mainstream monetary system - part one", for which I acknowledge Julian Phillips.
Tuesday, 10 April 2012
Singapore to remove gold tax
Singapore will exempt gold, silver and platinum from their 7% goods and services tax from October, 2012. Removal of the tax will have a number of consequences.
Gold becomes legal tender
Gold has become legal tender in South Carolina, joining Utah and other states in the USA who have legalised gold's use as money in parallel with the US dollar, according to Wealth Wire.
Monday, 9 April 2012
Gold price spike again
The gold price spiked up suddenly, again, shortly after 22:00 GMT = 8:00am AEDT (Sydney),
Monday morning. See Kitco's chart below.
Sunday, 8 April 2012
Gold price test
For those watching the price of gold, gold is approaching the long term upwards sloping trend line, shown below. It is likely that Mainland China has a national policy to accumulate gold, as western interests sell.
Tuesday, 3 April 2012
Germany should repatriate gold from USA, and buy more gold - Peter Schiff
Peter Shiff argues that if he were head of the German Central Bank (Deutsche Bundesbank) he would have all of Germany's gold, 66% of which is currently held in the USA, repatriated to Germany, and, that he would have Germany exchange their US dollar reserves for gold bought on the free market.
Monday, 2 April 2012
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